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September 09, 2010, 08:31:23 AM


 
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Author Topic: MLB Series Sweeps  (Read 2795 times)
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jumperjack
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« Reply #25 on: May 22, 2009, 01:18:19 PM »

Philly swept the Nats in a 4 gamer on the road.
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« Reply #26 on: May 25, 2009, 08:45:20 AM »

There were 10 teams going for a sweep yesterday - 5 road teams and 5 home teams - and the numbers stayed pretty true.

Home teams went 3-2 to complete the sweep (Atlanta, Minnesota, San Deigo completing sweeps; White Sox, St.Louis failing to sweep).

Road teams went 1-4 in their attempt to complete the sweep (Texas was the only road team to complete the sweep; Florida, Washington, Boston, and Oakland winning game 3 to avoid the sweep).

Updated stats:

@ HOME to complete sweep: 38-19 (66.66% success rate)

@ HOME to complete 4 game sweep: 2-0


On ROAD to complete sweep: 8-26 (23.5% success rate)

On ROAD to complete 4 game sweep: 1-2


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« Reply #27 on: May 27, 2009, 10:19:53 AM »

8 teams going for 3 game sweeps today - 6 home teams (Cleveland has won the first 2 of a 4 game series) and 2 road teams:

HOME teams looking to sweep 3 games:

1:35pm - Toronto @ BALTIMORE
3:35pm - Seatle @ OAKLAND
7pm - Houston @ CINCINNATI
      - Washington @ NY METS
      - Tampa Bay @ CLEVELAND (gm 3 of 4)
10:15pm - Atlanta @ SAN FRANCISCO

ROAD teams looking to sweep:

3pm - La Dodgers @ COLORADO
10pm - Chicago White Sox @ LA ANGELS

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« Reply #28 on: May 28, 2009, 11:46:11 AM »

8 teams going for 3 game sweeps today - 6 home teams (Cleveland has won the first 2 of a 4 game series) and 2 road teams:

HOME teams looking to sweep 3 games:

1:35pm - Toronto @ BALTIMORE
3:35pm - Seatle @ OAKLAND
7pm - Houston @ CINCINNATI
      - Washington @ NY METS
      - Tampa Bay @ CLEVELAND (gm 3 of 4)
10:15pm - Atlanta @ SAN FRANCISCO

ROAD teams looking to sweep:

3pm - La Dodgers @ COLORADO
10pm - Chicago White Sox @ LA ANGELS



Results:

HOME team to sweep: 5-1
Road team to sweep: 1-1

Updated totals:

At HOME to sweep:  43-20 (68.25% success rate)

At HOME to sweep 4 game series: 2-0


On ROAD to sweep: 9-27 (25% success rate)

On ROAD to sweep 4 game series: 1-2
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« Reply #29 on: May 28, 2009, 11:46:56 AM »

May 28

Cleveland at HOME looking to sweep 4 game series from Tampa Bay
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« Reply #30 on: May 29, 2009, 11:50:22 AM »

May 28

Cleveland at HOME looking to sweep 4 game series from Tampa Bay

Cleveland wins game 4 to complete 4 game sweep


Totals:


At HOME to sweep:  44-20 (68.75% success rate)

At HOME to sweep 4 game series: 3-0  (Bos, Tor, Cle)


On ROAD to sweep: 9-27 (25% success rate)

On ROAD to sweep 4 game series: 1-2
 

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« Reply #31 on: June 02, 2009, 11:05:52 AM »

So here is how the weekend broke down:

Teams at HOME to sweep: 4 - 4 (includes Texas winning games 1-3 of their 4 game series with Oakland)

@ HOME to sweep 4 game series: 0-1 (Texas lost game 4)

Teams on ROAD to sweep: 1-2


Updated YTD totals:

@ HOME to sweep: 48-24 (66.6% success rate)

@ HOME to sweep 4 game: 3-1 (75% success rate)


on ROAD to sweep: 10-29 (25.6% success rate)

on ROAD to sweep 4 game: 1-2 (33.3%)

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« Reply #32 on: June 02, 2009, 09:44:35 PM »

Don't bet against the Phils vs San Diego for a Sweep...Outstanding road record, bullpen set up nicely now, and Happ is gonna be a good one!
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« Reply #33 on: June 03, 2009, 10:51:06 AM »

4 games on tap tonight looking to make it 3 in a row...

7pm

NyM @ PIT - PIT W2
Mil @ FLA - FLA W2

8pm

Col @ HOU - HOU W2

10pm

Phi @ SD - Phi W2
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« Reply #34 on: June 14, 2009, 07:40:56 AM »

I've been travelling extensively and haven't been able to keep up stats.  Will back track, but this is on tap today...

Fla @ TOR - Fla W2
Min @ CUBS - Min W2
Bos @ Phi - Bos W2
Was @ TB - TB W2
Cin @ KC - KC W2
Sea @ Col - Col W2
Sd @ LAA - LA W2
Oak @ SF - SF W2
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« Reply #35 on: July 06, 2009, 11:05:34 AM »

BUMP
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« Reply #36 on: July 08, 2009, 09:36:23 AM »

Sorry to all who were following the sweep stats... damn day job!

Anyway, I have gone through and totally updated.  The below stats are up to July 6th.


Previous stats as of June 2nd:

@ HOME to sweep: 48-24 (66.6% success rate)

@ HOME to sweep 4 game: 3-1 (75% success rate)


on ROAD to sweep: 10-29 (25.6% success rate)

on ROAD to sweep 4 game: 1-2 (33.3%)



As of July 6th:

Updated YTD totals:

@ HOME to sweep: 71 - 41  (63.4% success rate)

@ HOME to sweep 4 game: 3-3 (50% success rate)


on ROAD to sweep: 26 -45 (36.6% success rate)

on ROAD to sweep 4 game: 2-2 (50%)


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« Reply #37 on: July 08, 2009, 09:43:45 AM »

On tap for July 8th are 3 teams looking for the HOME sweep:

3:10pm - Was (Detwiler 0-4, 5.81) @ COL (DeLa Rosa 5-7, 5.14) - COL W2
3:40pm - Sd (Gaudin 4-7, 5.35) @ ARI (Scherzer 5-6, 3.73) - ARI W2
3:45pm - Fla (Volstad 5-8, 4.85) @ SF (Sadowski 2-0. 0.00) - SF W2

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« Reply #38 on: July 09, 2009, 09:03:45 AM »

On tap for July 8th are 3 teams looking for the HOME sweep:

3:10pm - Was (Detwiler 0-4, 5.81) @ COL (DeLa Rosa 5-7, 5.14) - COL W2
3:40pm - Sd (Gaudin 4-7, 5.35) @ ARI (Scherzer 5-6, 3.73) - ARI W2
3:45pm - Fla (Volstad 5-8, 4.85) @ SF (Sadowski 2-0. 0.00) - SF W2



Home teams go 2-1 to keep win % right on target


Updated YTD totals:

@ HOME to sweep: 73 - 42  (63.4% success rate)

@ HOME to sweep 4 game: 3-3 (50% success rate)


on ROAD to sweep: 26 -45 (36.6% success rate)

on ROAD to sweep 4 game: 2-2 (50%)
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« Reply #39 on: July 09, 2009, 09:57:55 AM »

Potential sweeps on tap for today: 2 home teams and 1 road team


Home Teams looking to sweep:

12:05pm  Tor (Halladay 10-2, 2.79) @ TB (Price 2-3, 5.21)

2:05pm  Cle (Huff 4-3, 6.06) @ CWS (Richard 3-2, 4.75)


Road Team looking to sweep:

1:10pm  Nyy (Aceves 5-1, 2.03) @ MIN (Liriano 4-8, 5.49)

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« Reply #40 on: July 13, 2009, 09:19:38 AM »

Updated YTD totals as of July 13

@ HOME to sweep: 77 - 44  (63.6% success rate)

@ HOME to sweep 4 game: 3-4 (42.9% success rate)


on ROAD to sweep: 27 -45 (36.9% success rate)

on ROAD to sweep 4 game: 2-2 (50%)
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« Reply #41 on: July 23, 2009, 04:17:38 PM »

Very Interesting stats. 

If I am reading them right there has been exactly 200 possiblities of sweeps this year already?  So there has been 200  2 -0 (or 3 -0) starts to these series?  How many series has there been up to this date in baseball?  I just mean there might be something to betting the team that wins the first game to win the second!
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« Reply #42 on: July 29, 2009, 11:09:41 AM »

Sorry everyone... been on vacation.  Will get the past 10 days caught up by tomorrow.

As for how many total series there have been in MLB this year, I have no idea.  In reference to your question though, I would think that far more series have split games 1 and 2 then have won the first 2.  Just a guess though.
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« Reply #43 on: July 30, 2009, 11:50:33 AM »

3 HOME teams on tap today looking for sweeps...

Colorado @ NYM - NY w2
Atlanta @ FLORIDA - Fla w2
La Dodgers @ STL - STL w2


I will have up to date stats after today's games on for tomorrow
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« Reply #44 on: July 31, 2009, 07:46:01 AM »

Updated stats as of July 31

@ HOME to sweep:  90 - 55 (62% success)

@ HOME to sweep 4 game series:  3 - 9 (25% success)

on Road to sweep:  33 - 51 (39% success)

on Road to sweep 4 game series:  2 - 3 (40% success)
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« Reply #45 on: August 02, 2009, 09:37:02 AM »

Slink - looks like three options today for home teams to avoid a sweep (61%)


Colorado @ CINN - Colorado w2.... Reds +125

Boston @ BALT - Boston w2 ..... Balt +140

LA Angels @ MINN - LA w2 ..... Minn EVEN

Home teams avoiding sweeps in 3 game series 51-33 (61%) and 2/3 getting chalk....NICE !
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« Reply #46 on: August 06, 2009, 08:51:53 AM »

5 teams looking for sweeps today:

@ HOME to sweep:

12:35pm  Florida (-152) @ WASHINGTON (+142)

2:05pm   LaAngels (+138) @ CHI SOX (-148)

3:35pm   Texas (-115) @ OAKLAND (+105) *** 4 game series - OAKLAND has won the first 3 games


On Road to sweep:

7:05pm  Arizona (-126) @ PITTSBURGH (+116)

8:35pm  Seattle (+101) @ KANSAS CITY (-111)



Updated stats up to and including August 5

@ HOME to sweep:  92 - 60 (60.5% success rate)

@ HOME to sweep 4 game:  3 - 10 (23% success rate)

on Road to sweep:  36 - 52 (40.9% success rate)

on Road to sweep 4 game:  2 - 3 (40% success rate)


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« Reply #47 on: August 10, 2009, 10:04:48 AM »

Updated Stats as of August 10th (includes games Aug.6, 8, 9)

@ HOME to sweep:  95 - 63  (60% success) - HOME teams went 3 - 3 over these days

@ HOME to sweep 4 game:  4 - 10 (28.6% success) - HOME teams went 1 - 0

on Road to sweep:  39 - 53 (42% success) - Road teams went 3 -1

on Road to sweep 4 game:  2 - 3 (40% success)


The percentages have remained pretty constant most of the season with the exception of the Road teams to complete sweeps.  Prior to the All-Star game, the success rate was a pretty steady range of 25 - 35%.  Since the All-Star game, we have seen the Road team completing sweeps at a higher rate as the overall total has jumped to 42% (the road team has completed the sweep 12 out of 20 attempts - 60% success - since the All-Star break).

I took a look at the combined records between the teams completing the 12 sweeps vs. the records of the HOME teams being swept.  The combined winning % of the road teams completing the sweeps are .529  (all but 2 of the road teams that swept have winning records).  The combined winning % of the HOME teams that were swept over this time period is .446 (all but 3 have losing records).

My assumption regarding the change since the All-Star break is that you have some of the better teams in baseball (St.Louis, Florida, Boston, LA Angels, Colorado, TB, Philly, Cubs) beating up on the teams that are way out of it... ie. Pittsburgh (2x), Baltimore, Cincinnati, San Diego, KC, Washington, Minnesota (54-57, .486)

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« Reply #48 on: August 12, 2009, 10:26:01 AM »

5 teams looking to sweep today - 4 HOME teams, 1 Road team

@ HOME to sweep

3:35pm  Tb (-125) @ LAA (+115)
3:40pm  Nym (+158) @ ARI (-168)
7:05pm  Det (+240) @ BOS (-260)
7:10pm  Hou (+173) @ FLA (-183)

on Road to sweep

3:45pm  Lad (+175) @ SF (-190)


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« Reply #49 on: August 12, 2009, 10:47:04 AM »

The Bosox series with Detroit is 4 games not 3. Series ends Thurs. afternoon.
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