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Author Topic: ***2009**** MLB-TREND SETTER  (Read 18861 times)
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$CashCow$
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« on: June 17, 2009, 12:12:27 PM »

I will post these trends here and keep a log of records.  I'll try and be as accurate as I can with the ratings based off strenght.  But figure if its 95-100% would classify a 10*.  90-95  9*.  85-90 an 8* 80-85 a 7*, 75-80 a 6*, 70-75 a 5*, 65-70 a 4*, 60-65 a 3*, 55-60 a 2* and under 55 a 1*

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)(9*=90-95%)(8*=85-90%)(7*=80-85%)(6*=75-80%)(5*=70-75%)(4*=65-70%)(3*=60-65%)(2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55%These are Leans Only)


Here are the trends to play on or agaisnt for Wednesday.  I said I would rate these 1-10 in earlier post.  Again this is a betting formula I use for Baccarat.  It
will automatically find certain trends and get you on them.  I have been playing them for about a month now.  Some stronger than others.


Play Cubs/CWS game total of 'Under' 8.5 runs. (7*)
Cubs have 2 consecutive Unders.  Since opening day, when they have reached 2 Unders in a row, they have gone to 3+ Unders 6 of 8 attempts for 75% Win rate.  CWS have 1 Under in a row.  Over the last 30 games,  when CWS  have had 1 Over in a row, they have gone 'Under' the next day 8 of 9 times for a an 89%.  This is called a 'Chop'.  Combine that with the Cubs and it sets up perfect for an UNDER 8.5 runs.  Both combining for 14 of 17 for 82% win rate.

Nice 7* Winner on Under Cubs/CWS.   Im going to have to minimize my time writing up plays and just put the plays and ratings... When I get something of significance, like Under Braves last night and Under Cubs, I'll do my best to write up why so strong.  I do have a nice play later...here are 7pm games below.

7pm EST game
WAS/NYY Over 11  (1*) Lose 1
Mets/O’s Under 10  (1*) Lose 2
Blue Jays +120  (1*)
Indians -120 (2*) Lose 2.4
Indians/Brewers Over 10 (1*)Win 1
Red Sox (3*) Win 3
Red Sox/ Marlins Over 10.5 (1*) Lose 1

8pm EST
Astros/Rangers Under 10.5 (7*) Win 7
D’backs/Royals Over 7.5 (6*) Win 6
Twins  (3*) Lose 5.7
Tigers (3*)Lose 3.75
Tigers/Cards Over 8.5 (1*)Lose 1
Rockies -110 (8*) Win 8 Explaination below...

Explainan of Rockies game.  Rockies Won 11 straight.  According to my Trend Setter Formula, teams that go on streaks of 8 or more and have their loss, come right back 70% of the time.  Combining sides and total streaks this year of 8 or more it has happened 10 times…Whether it was on a winning streak, losing, Over or Under streak, when it broke, it came right back on whatever streak it was on 70% of the time…In games of 9 or more streaks it hitting at 5-1 of 83% in games of 11 or more (as Rockies are in) its 2-0 100%of.  I set the value at a 8* being they are playing a team on a streak as well, in 6 wins in a row.  One thing of note.  Six Wins/Losses/Over/Unders loses more than it wins meaning the streak ends at 6 more than it continues…so when you see a streak of 6, go against it, if it continues, continue until it breaks… So we go against Rays here as well… Hope this helps.  

Late games:
MAriners/Padres Under 8 runs (2*)

There are some really solid plays lining up...I'll be back tomorrow with early action as there are 7 day games... I will try and do some tonight.  it takes me about 5-6 hours to go thru all 30 teams/sides and totals.  I try and do the early games first.  

Daily Recap: 6 Wins for 33*'s and 3 Losses for 11.85*, Winning 67% of plays for a net Profit of 21.15*'s
Overall Recap: 6 Wins for 33*'s and 3 Losses for 11.85*, Winning 67% of plays for a net Profit of 21.15*'s







« Last Edit: May 06, 2010, 10:22:49 AM by HOVA » Logged

From JasonPierrePaul "Once in the backfield...I'll hit the quarterback and give him every piece of muscle I got in my body and just 'try to break his neck'... I don’t like Qb's...I love this game... "you can hurt somebody, and you won’t get in trouble for it!"
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« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2009, 03:33:25 PM »

 bravo money1a cheers88
Nice job CC
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« Reply #2 on: June 17, 2009, 05:10:29 PM »

 glukbravo on the early game.  Excellent work.
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« Reply #3 on: June 17, 2009, 06:30:25 PM »

Nice post.

I like a good money management/unit rating system.

 beer2


What's on deck for the late games???  I may have to make another phone call...
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« Reply #4 on: June 17, 2009, 06:39:10 PM »

Solid play on the rockies tonight.  That is an old trend. Also after tonight start betting against the Rockies.
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MLB RECORD: 114-100 (+3347)
SOCCER: 69-59  (+7,753)
GOY: 2-0 (+1850)
NFL:  12-16 (-830)
CFB: 37-30 (+1150)
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« Reply #5 on: June 17, 2009, 08:20:38 PM »

your time is appreciated, wish you the best
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$CashCow$
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« Reply #6 on: June 18, 2009, 06:28:44 AM »

21.85*'s of profit6,7,8*'s went a perfect 4-0.  These are the high % plays.  They've won consistantly all season, thats why they win.  If you look at the rating I give...say an 8* you can have the confidence that this play according to the chart above has won 80% of the time in this situation this year.  You could base you $$$ amount based off these * ratings I give.  10* being the highest, its up to you. 

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)(9*=90-95%)(8*=85-90%)(7*=80-85%)(6*=75-80%)(5*=70-75%)(4*=65-70%)(3*=60-65%)(2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55%These are Leans Only)


 
Thursdays Early Trend Plays… Top plays went 4-0 last night.

954 NYY  (3*) Lose 4.8   ( I wouldn’t recommend laying that big -$330 so play a RL here at -160) and cross your fingers they win by 2
956 Phillies-160 (6*) Lose 9.6
956/957 Phillies-Blue Jays ‘Under 10.5’ Even  (3*) Lose 3.0
957 Pirates  +140 (3*) Lose 3
959 CWS +145 (1*Lean) Lose 1
959 CWS/Cubs  ‘Over’ (2*) Win 2.0
961/962 TB-Col ‘Over 9’ -115(8*) Lose 9.2
961 Rays -110  (3*) Lose 3.3[/color]
963 Mariners -100 (2*) Lose 2.0
963/963 Mariners-Padres ‘Under 8.5’ (3*) Win 3.0

Nothing really big for late plays:
965 Mets +110 (2*) Lose 2.0
967 Red Sox (3*RL even)  Lose 3.0
968 Red Sox ‘Under’ 9.5 (2*) Win 2.0
969 Astros +155 (3*) Win 4.65
969/970 Rangers-Astros ‘Under 10.5’ +110(4*) Win 4.4
971 D Backs-145 (3*) WIN 3.0
971/972 D backs-Royals Under 8-05 (3*) Lose 3.15
973 Tigers +105 (3*) WIN 3.15
975 A’s +125 (3*)WIN 3.75
975/976 A’s-Dodgers ‘Over 7.5’-105' (4*) Lose 4.2

Well that’s it…Lets root em in…

GL $Ca$hCow$


16 teams have had winning or losing streaks of 7 or more.  When the streak ends, look for that team to go opposite of the streak they were on 2 games after the streak ends.  So we played Rockies last night in a strong situation (70%) to come right back and win when most of the betting public on Rays... Now over the next 8-10 games we will go against Rockies.  The worst history has show is a 50-50 split. Out of 16 W/L streaks this year only LAD (twice) and NYY actually went 50-50 or 60-40 over next 10 games following the streak.  thats an 81% win rate.  I'm going to start with $100 if I lose it, I'll bet 150 next game. 

I'm using the D'lamberet betting model of (1,1,1-1,1,1) using each 1 as a $50 value.  If I lose , i put a 2 in row and it now looks like this (1,1,1-,1,1,1,2).
I keep doing this until it all cancels out.  Even if Rockies go 5Wins 5 Losses, I will pick up 5 net winners, using this small progression.  Although Im banking on a 65-70% kind of win. 

Daily Recap:7 Wins for 22.5* and 12 Losses for -51 for a daily Loss of -28.80
Overall YTD:13 Wins and 15 Losses for a net loss of -7.65*'s

« Last Edit: August 02, 2009, 04:24:04 PM by $CashCow$ » Logged

From JasonPierrePaul "Once in the backfield...I'll hit the quarterback and give him every piece of muscle I got in my body and just 'try to break his neck'... I don’t like Qb's...I love this game... "you can hurt somebody, and you won’t get in trouble for it!"
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« Reply #7 on: June 18, 2009, 12:40:08 PM »

Know zilch about Baccarat...couldnt spell it til your post. 

Trend is your friend, friend...so keep 'em coming!
   BOL baseb


$
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« Reply #8 on: June 18, 2009, 02:43:08 PM »

Once again, good stuff and thanks for posting!

 sitbeer
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« Reply #9 on: June 18, 2009, 03:31:32 PM »

 gluk
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« Reply #10 on: June 18, 2009, 05:16:43 PM »

thanks for the time consuming research gluk
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$CashCow$
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« Reply #11 on: June 19, 2009, 05:45:36 PM »

NP

Was swamped at wqork today and Im on call tomorrow...So I'll do some trends tonight and post the strong ones 4* and greater.

GL manana
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From JasonPierrePaul "Once in the backfield...I'll hit the quarterback and give him every piece of muscle I got in my body and just 'try to break his neck'... I don’t like Qb's...I love this game... "you can hurt somebody, and you won’t get in trouble for it!"
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« Reply #12 on: June 19, 2009, 06:07:25 PM »

awesome work $$cashcow$$!!! 

Hey i was wondering if you could still post the 1%-3% plays.  we could just fade them, no? Isn't the opposite of 1% >>> 9%?  If they only have a success rate of hitting at 1%, why not pick the opposite where the probability is 9%?

Thanks,
BAO
« Last Edit: June 19, 2009, 06:11:21 PM by BAO » Logged

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$CashCow$
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« Reply #13 on: June 21, 2009, 07:58:53 PM »

haha...you mis read the post...it hits at 55%...my rating for that % (55%) is a 1*..you'd still be losing more if you chose the other side..... I've been on call this weekend... Saturday I worked 17 straight hrs...So I thought I'd cap some games Friday night for Saturday and found out I left all my info I use back at my office.  So I was screwed.  Now Its Sunday and I wont get to it until tomorrow.  I hope I didn't miss anything big, but I'm thinking I did... as there was a few nice prize bets lining up.  I'll look tomorrow and try and get them all up by 3pm PST, 1 hr before 1st game goes.

Cya
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From JasonPierrePaul "Once in the backfield...I'll hit the quarterback and give him every piece of muscle I got in my body and just 'try to break his neck'... I don’t like Qb's...I love this game... "you can hurt somebody, and you won’t get in trouble for it!"
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« Reply #14 on: June 22, 2009, 04:17:41 PM »

Look forward to your info man!
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$CashCow$
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« Reply #15 on: June 22, 2009, 05:30:44 PM »

Nothing really strong tonight guys....Sorry, no need to force it right?

Trend Setter Star ratings I give are based off percentages of time a particular trend comes in.  Example, its in a double trend at the time and it has doubled 5 straight times and 13 of 16.  in this case , it has doubled 81% of the time.  Using the chart, 81% would constitute a 7* play for me.  All trends are based off a Gambling System used for Baccarat, which automatically finds trends of chops/tsreaks/2-2-2's, singles,doubles,triples,quads,etc.  It uses two different Modes.  Same Mode and Opposite Mode.    The Opposite Plays are the Strenght IMO.  It will find the strenght of the play and get you on it.  I.E. Your in 'Same Mode' but it has you play an "opposite" play for 1 play only and then back to 'Same Mode' unless an opposite play is dictated again.

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)(9*=90-95%)(8*=85-90%)(7*=80-85%)(6*=75-80%)(5*=70-75%)(4*=65-70%)(3*=60-65%)(2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55%These are Leans Only)


Monday's Plays:
Over 9 Rockies/LAA (2*) Win 2.0
Rockies (2*) Win 2.0

Daily Recap:2 Wins for 4.0* and 0 Losses for 0 for a daily WIN of +4*'s
Overall YTD:15 Wins and 15 Losses for a net loss of -3.65*'s


« Last Edit: August 02, 2009, 04:31:08 PM by $CashCow$ » Logged

From JasonPierrePaul "Once in the backfield...I'll hit the quarterback and give him every piece of muscle I got in my body and just 'try to break his neck'... I don’t like Qb's...I love this game... "you can hurt somebody, and you won’t get in trouble for it!"
$CashCow$
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« Reply #16 on: June 22, 2009, 07:29:00 PM »

LMAO brother...good stuff..although i think the cappucinos are up to $5.50 now for a Venti...$4 will get you a Grande

Relying on you, man.

I hate this I-L crap.

I risked (allegedly) (legally) (hypothetically) (don't want to incriminate myself) thousands of clams last week and WON $4!

No code. FOUR DOLLARS.

I can buy a double smoothie white cappucino whatever it is at Starbucks!  All because I handicapped games and stared at trends for a week, got bloodshot eyes and a few gray hairs.

So bring on the Trendsetter!   bravo


« Last Edit: June 23, 2009, 06:22:21 AM by $CashCow$ » Logged

From JasonPierrePaul "Once in the backfield...I'll hit the quarterback and give him every piece of muscle I got in my body and just 'try to break his neck'... I don’t like Qb's...I love this game... "you can hurt somebody, and you won’t get in trouble for it!"
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« Reply #17 on: June 22, 2009, 10:37:45 PM »

Nice call CC. Keep em coming bro.   beer2
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$CashCow$
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« Reply #18 on: June 23, 2009, 06:21:21 AM »

Trend Setter pulled out a 2-0 night with rockies and the over in Rockies.  We'll see what it has in store for us today. 

CC
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From JasonPierrePaul "Once in the backfield...I'll hit the quarterback and give him every piece of muscle I got in my body and just 'try to break his neck'... I don’t like Qb's...I love this game... "you can hurt somebody, and you won’t get in trouble for it!"
$CashCow$
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« Reply #19 on: June 23, 2009, 04:58:30 PM »

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)(9*=90-95%)(8*=85-90%)(7*=80-85%)(6*=75-80%)(5*=70-75%)(4*=65-70%)(3*=60-65%)(2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55%These are Leans Only)


Phillies were in a really nice situation of a 6 rule...meaning bet agaisnt any W/L streak/chop of 6....as they have 6 Losses, so Bet them to WIN.  However it gets bucked because Rays also in a trend to WIN.  This is where you want trend on Rays to be to Lose...then you hammer Phillies...


Early Games:
901 Cards -115 (2*) WIN 2.0
901/902 Cards Under 9-110 (3*)WIN 3.0
905/906 Under 9 Red Sox-110 (2*)LOSS 2.2
907 Indians -105 (3*)WIN 3.0
909/910Cinci/Toronto Over 9 (2*)WIN 2.0
912 Tigers -125 (2*)WIN 2.0
913/914 Under 9.5 Yankees (3*)WIN 3.0

Mid Games:
917 Twins even (3*)WIN 3.0
922 CWS -115 (3*)LOSE 3.45
922/923 CWS/LAD Under 9 (3*)WIN 3.0

[b]Late Games after doctor appointment:[/b]
925 Rockies -120 (3*)LOSE 3.6
927 SFG-115 (3*)WIN 3.0

9-3 FOR A =16% WINNING DAY.  TOUGH LOSSES ON ROCKIES AS THEY BLOW 2 BUNT PLAYS IN 9TH INNING, MISSED BOTH FOR OUTS.  COULD HAVEN BEEN A 10-2 DAY EASILY.  RED SOX EXPLODE IN 8TH OR 9TH AS WELL AS WE HAD AN EASY UNDER ON THEM. COULD HAVE BEEN A 11-1 DAY.

MLB Records and P/L Since June 17 2009:
Daily P/L Recap:9 Wins   3 Losses  for a Daily Net Win of +14.75*'s
Overall YTD Record:24 Wins   18 Losses  for a Overall YTD Win of 11.10*'s
YTD P/L @ $25*=$277.50
 
« Last Edit: August 02, 2009, 05:35:59 PM by $CashCow$ » Logged

From JasonPierrePaul "Once in the backfield...I'll hit the quarterback and give him every piece of muscle I got in my body and just 'try to break his neck'... I don’t like Qb's...I love this game... "you can hurt somebody, and you won’t get in trouble for it!"
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« Reply #20 on: June 23, 2009, 06:15:21 PM »

CC was that Philly info/play posted pre or post start of that game? I did not see it before first pitch unless I'm too buzzed moonshine1 moonshine1
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« Reply #21 on: June 23, 2009, 07:00:55 PM »

Who cares. He said it was bucked by a play on the Rays. I'm assuming he means they cancel each other out. All the other plays are doing well as the early games all seem to be covering.  The guy spends hrs a day for free for us to profit and u sweat him about when he posted comments about a play he says he's laying off of. Please don't piss him off as this info is good stuff.

Grace

CC was that Philly info/play posted pre or post start of that game? I did not see it before first pitch unless I'm too buzzed moonshine1 moonshine1
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« Reply #22 on: June 23, 2009, 07:27:02 PM »

Who cares. He said it was bucked by a play on the Rays. I'm assuming he means they cancel each other out. All the other plays are doing well as the early games all seem to be covering.  The guy spends hrs a day for free for us to profit and u sweat him about when he posted comments about a play he says he's laying off of. Please don't piss him off as this info is good stuff.

Grace

CLEARLY GRACE HAS NO IDEA WHAT HE IS TALKING ABOUT.  I SIMPLY ASKED A QUESTION.  I KNOW CC DOES TONS OF WORK AND I APPRECIATE BUT GET OFF HIS NUTS BRO REALLY.  CC I GIVE YOU PROPS, YOU CAN READ MY PREVIOUS POSTS IN YOUR THREAD I THINK THIS ROOKIE JUST TOOK IT A STEP TO FAR.  KEEP CRANKING EM OUT BRO.  AS FOR YOU GRACE DRINK A BEER AND RELAX.
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$CashCow$
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« Reply #23 on: June 23, 2009, 08:06:34 PM »

CC was that Philly info/play posted pre or post start of that game? I did not see it before first pitch unless I'm too buzzed moonshine1 moonshine1


Twizzle/Grace...I Just got home from my MRI...6month post surgery to see how recovery is going...then had to sign docs at my attorney's...now my food is cold from Bucca De Peppa...

Sorry I wasn't able to get late plays to you guys earlier...thought I would have been home to post sooner

to answer your question, i posted it after the first pitch because I didn't want people to think the trend was still strong to play it.  I have a lot of cancelatations doing this.  So if you don't see a game, its because both sides say to Lose or both sides say to Win, or both totals say to go Over or both under...so when that happens, it cancels each other out.  this is the part I hate as I need to figure what takes precedence over others so if the cancel, we could still play a game like the Phillies tonight.  No biggie bro, this system pulls more winners then losers. 

No hard feeling to her as well.  This stuff takes a lot of my time.  I don't know how long I can continue and if it is all worth it.   But I'll go as long as I can stand it.  I get to contribute here as much as I can.  it's a Choice I make to do so hopefully it continues to pull winners and we are all happy campers. 

Well I'm eating my Bucca now..GL on late games fellas and ladies...and I'll be sure to let  you all know when a 10* arrives. 

CashCow
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From JasonPierrePaul "Once in the backfield...I'll hit the quarterback and give him every piece of muscle I got in my body and just 'try to break his neck'... I don’t like Qb's...I love this game... "you can hurt somebody, and you won’t get in trouble for it!"
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« Reply #24 on: June 23, 2009, 08:09:44 PM »

Glad to see SF was a play. Had 4 units on them. Thanks Cash$! Anyway I can help? I have to warn you, I'm good at math but don't know Jack about canasta or bacarat or bocci or whatever the base processor involves!

You're the man!

 cheers88
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