***2009**** MLB-TREND SETTER

[$CashCow$]

i'LL TRY AND GET WEDNESDAYS UP HERE IN A BIT...ILL DO EARLY TRENDS FIRST.

[$CashCow$]

Trend Plays and *'s (stars)  went 9-3 last night...realy just missed a 11-1 day tow games late....

Some nice stuff lines up with High win rates...Im gonna post these and be back with some more after first set of games goes off..

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)(9*=90-95%)(8*=85-90%)(7*=80-85%)(6*=75-80%)(5*=70-75%)(4*=65-70%)(3*=60-65%)(2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55%These are Leans Only)

Wednesday:
6*Under 9-105 Reds/B Jays Lose 6.30
6* Red Sox WIN 6
3* Under NYY 9-105 Lose 3.15(THANKS UMPS)
3* Under 9+105 Marlins/O's WIN 3.15
2* Tigers-115 WIN 2.0

Game8 EST s:
(2*) Brewers +105 WIN 2.10
(2*) under 8.5-120 + Royals/Astro's WIN 2.0
(3*) LAD +105 Lose 3.0
(7*) Under 8.5-110 + Rangers/Dbacks WIN 7
(11-1 last 12 for 91% which is a 9* for me...Had to reduce to a 7* because overall record dropped the % a little).


Late Games:
(3*) Angels-140 WIN 3.0
(2*) Over 9-20 Angels/Rockies  WIN 2.0
(2*) A's /SFG Under 8-15 LOSE 2.3
(1*Lean) Padres +135 Lose 1

MLB Records and P/L Since June 17 2009:
Daily P/L Recap:7 Wins   4 Losses  for a Daily Net Win of +6.5*'s
Overall YTD Record:31 Wins   22 Losses 58% for a Overall YTD Win of 17.6*'s
YTD P/L @ $25*=$440.00

Ca$hcow$

[$CashCow$]

haha...

Just bet 28 on the Tigers and then realized that it was supposed to be an * (capital 8).

OK.  Just kidding.  No play on that game for me, but am on Yanks under and the BoSox.

 

good one Ice... If you see an obvious mistake...go ahead and fix it b4 someone does put 28 units...

thx..

[IceDragon]

Through Tues 6/23

YTD Record:

10* 0-0
9* 0-0
8* 1-0
7* 2-1
6* 1-0
5* 0-0
4* 0-0
3* 7-4
2* 5-2
1* 2-4

[$CashCow$]

Late games up...We got screwed for 2 runs in NYY game as umps blew a call where Cano ran inside the line on a 3-2-3 double play.  Its suppose to be a dead ball, runners don't advance and Cano is out.  Next batter hits into a double play because A-rod would have never got to third had it been a dead ball interference call.  If the total land 11 we would have pushed, 12 we would have lost.

BTW, late plays up in Wednesday Thread above...added Under in A's for 2* and Padres =135 for 1*.  G

GL

Thanks ICE for updating stuff.  This takes enough of my time... today I got it done in 3 hrs...horray...lol

[TheGame]

Late games up...We got screwed for 2 runs in NYY game as umps blew a call where Cano ran inside the line on a 3-2-3 double play.  Its suppose to be a dead ball, runners don't advance and Cano is out.  Next batter hits into a double play because A-rod would have never got to third had it been a dead ball interference call.  If the total land 11 we would have pushed, 12 we would have lost.

BTW, late plays up in Wednesday Thread above...added Under in A's for 2* and Padres =135 for 1*.  G

GL

Thanks ICE for updating stuff.  This takes enough of my time... today I got it done in 3 hrs...horray...lol

Saw that play he should have been out

[$CashCow$]

Trend Setter YTD record Updated thru Wednesday 6/24/09

YTD Record:

10* 0-0
9* 0-0
8* 1-0   100%
7* 3-1   75%
6* 2-1   67%
5* 0-0
4* 0-0
3* 9-6   60%
2* 9-3   75%
1* 2-5   30%

[tnizzle]

CC   

[$CashCow$]

Thursdays Trend Setter Plays:

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)(9*=90-95%)(8*=85-90%)(7*=80-85%)(6*=75-80%)(5*=70-75%)(4*=65-70%)(3*=60-65%)(2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55%These are Leans Only)


Be careful with any Over plays I give as getaway Thursdays usually tend to 'Under' as Umps shorten the game by opening up strike zone, players know this and swing at pitches they normally would lay off of, but my Trendsetter does not dicifer Thursdays from a Saturday.:) So on the contrary, when you see an under play from me, on a Thursday, its a little stronger than normal.  Hope this helps...

(2*) Cards-115 LOSE 2.30
(2*) Cards/Mets OVER 6.5-110 runs LOSS 2.2
(3*Tigers +105 WIN 3.15
(2*) Over Minn/Milw 9 Even WIN 2.0
(2*) Mariners -175 WIN 2.0
(2*) Over 8.5-120 Mariners/Padres WINNER 2.0

Late Games:
(9*) Reds +110 WIN 9.9
(3*) REDS/BJ Under 8.5-105  Lose 3.15
(4*) Red Sox-120 Lose 4.8
(3*) over 9 +105 Red Sox/Nats WIN 3.15
(3*) TB Rays-135 WIN 3.0
(2*) Pirates +145 (WINNER 2.90)
(4*) NYY /ATL 'Under 8.5-110  Lose 4.4
(2*) Marlins-115  WIN 2.0
(2*) Rangers-115  WIN 2.0
(5*)Over 9.5-120 Rangers/Dbacks WIN 5

CARD IS FINAL.

Reds write Up: Reds in a Quads Win situation.  Every time they have had either 4 wins or 4 losses in a row they have gone opposite of current streak.  3-0 TY, they are currently on a 4 game losing streak.  Blue Jays are in a triple situational trend, where every time they have had 3 wins in a row, they have lost that 4th opportunity 6 of 7 tries, meaning it has gone 3 wins followed by a loss.  Combined between the two clubs, this trend is 9-1 on the year for a 90% mark, warranting a 9*, the first this high of the year.  We won our 8* earlier this month..  They great thing its + money and we don't have to lay the juice.  Remember, just because its won 9 of 10 times, doesn't mean it can't lose 5 straight in this same situation.  Bet this smart.   Use Money management and don't chase any losses you may be down for day or week.  We wait for these opportunities collecting on those little 2,3*'s plays til ones like this come around.  So Play is on the Reds and against the Blue Jays. 

MLB Records and P/L Since June 17 2009:
Daily P/L Recap: 11Wins   5 Losses  for a Daily Net Win of +20.25*'s
Overall YTD Record: 42 Wins   27 Losses 61% for a Overall YTD Win of 37.85*'s
YTD P/L @ $25*=$946.25

[tnizzle]

CC what game is the 4th play on? Just asking?

[$CashCow$]

CC what game is the 4th play on? Just asking?

Damn...didnt see your question til now, was working on afternoon/late Trends..  it was LAD/CWS... thank God I forgot name, hopefully only one to lose on it was me. :)  4:40 game up..

CC

[IceDragon]

Thanks again for the hard work.

Against the trends - playing Cleveland, but I am on Cincy.

 

[$CashCow$]

Thanks again for the hard work.

Against the trends - playing Cleveland, but I am on Cincy.

 

ah...Well then GL bro.  Hope Cincy comes in for us.  I get to Trust in the Trend, as the Trend is my friend.  I got a full card down to 3 hrs now LMAo, man if m Co ever found out I ws doing this...FIRED.. ... I look at it like this.  I'm in contribution to TIS for 3 hrs a day and the Co. I work for into it about $150 a day. 

Well GL to all   gotta get back to work now as I'm behind..,.. 

[tnizzle]

Thank you for all the time you put towards this thread CC.

[$CashCow$]

Ice, follow the Trends my Friend.  J/k bro, I was a little worried about that one as Pit had bases loaded earlier in 8th an blew it.

11-5 for the night netting 15* w/out the dog winners (4 of them)

I'm not going to sit down and figure what every dog winner pays out as I have enough hrs (3-4) a day into this formula.  I'm gonna figure that I'll have some dog winners of +105-200 and I'll have some fav losses, so they will balance out across the season.  The thing is, as mentioned in very first post, this system, does not distinguish between favorites and dogs, home/away, grass/turf or who's got an 8-1 record w/ 1.3 era and a whip of .91 vs a guy 2-9 4.55 era whip of 2.56.  It just might tell us the play is on that DOG and we have to trust the system and play it, as the win% as you see is holding up.  This is why I do not even look to see who is on the mound as it might sway me to lower my wager or * rating.  I personally don't even look at this until all my wagers are in, then I look and say, Oh boy, I'm going against Santana, Halladay etc...then laugh later when I'm collecting. Right now the System is hitting at 64% overall and Top plays 5*> at 80%.  We are going to have our losses in this system, this is why I have built in stop losses, that when I am in them its a NB (no bet) until I have a paper bet win in that situation, then I come back where I left off.  Could be the next day, but it has gone as many as 7 days before I even touch a team.  I have to stay true to my built in stop losses as i know over time, they will save me in long run.

[$CashCow$]

Your welcome my friend.  Its nice to know its appreciated.  I just wonder how many folks are even paying attention to it and using it.  The great thing is the * ratings are based off its own Win% in that current situational trend.  So if a play is a (8 for example, you at least have the confidence that the trend is winning at a 90% clip, when you lay your hard earned money on the line.  But the viewers looking at the glass Half empty says, but it can lose 2-3 in a row and still be at 60+% so Im laying off or whatever...It took me a while to believe in the beginning when I first started testing it.  I keep a running log in Excel on every game, every Win/Loss/over/Under.  It has held up through over 400 sides and totals combined so far. One of these days I will post where every team in MLB stands on the Trend Setter for P/L on WINS/Losses/Overs/Under...but I can say on an average, each side and total are up about 30+ per team.  So do the math  If you are playing just $10 per star, you'd be up about $300 per side and total... now multiply that by 60 (30 teams and 30 totals) .  You'd be up $18,000 thru half the baseball season...

Well off to work now.  Cya

Thank you for all the time you put towards this thread CC.

[$CashCow$]

Fridays Trend Setter Plays:

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)(9*=90-95%)(8*=85-90%)(7*=80-85%)(6*=75-80%)(5*=70-75%)(4*=65-70%)(3*=60-65%)(2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55%These are Leans Only)

Did not realize we had an early game on a Friday.  Well, the system called for a 1* play on CWS and had a real nice 4-1  trend on The Under 9.5 in CWS/Cubs game.  This under play on CWS has gone to an 'under' after a double (means 2 consec. overs) 4 of 5 times for 80%.  An 80% play is a 7* for us.  Well sorry I missed this one fellas, as I thought earliest game was 7pm EST.  My bad...maybe it will go over 9,5 and I wont feel bad.  Well im in a pretty good zone with these right now, so I'll continue to be disciplined about putting this info up and staying true to the Trend Setter.

Early Plays:
(2*) Reds even LOSS 2.0
(2*) Phillies +105 LOSS 2.0
(2*) Nats +150 LOSS 2.0
(3*) Over 8.5 Even Royals/Pirates LOSS 3.0
(3*) Over 8.5 Even NYY/NYM WIN 3.0
(7*)Under 8-115 Braves WIN 7    (Braves have had 10 doubles on Overs all season.  9 have gone Under after a double.  Their coming off 2 cons. Over.  I've been cashing this Trend all season.  Note: its reduced to a 7* because trend also has Red Sox going Over for a 2*.  So basic math, it gets reduced.
(2*) Marlins Over 8-110  WIN 2.0
(6*)Tigers/Astros Under 7.5 Even LOSS 6.0    (Tigers have not double in 9 of last 10 and 15 of last 20 to the Over.  Meaning after an Over', they have gone right back to an under 15-20 times 75% win rate.  ( of last 10 for 90%  but be base this Trend off the whole season not just recent.  Astros also on an Under 1* trend so we bump up the 5* 75% play Under 8 on Tigers to a 6*.
(3*) Astros +110. WIN 3.3 Tigers have their 'cap' at 7 Wins in prior event, so we bet it to Lose...play Astros +110.  These 'Caps' are really strong% plays.  Its hard to put a star rating because how many times does a team reach their high 'Cap'  once until its broken or it continues to break.  If it any consolation to your wagering, Tigers cap for Loss column is 7 as well...so that is twice the reason to play Astros.  I know its Verlander, but the Trend does not lie, nor distinguish with who's pitching as it has beaten all the Top Dogs...Play Astros!!!
(6*)Under 10 Even Rangers/Padres. LOSS 6.0  16 times after the Rangers have had '1 Over' in a row, they have gone Under 12 of 16 times for 75% Win rate and a 5* rating. Padres on a 1* Under as well so we bump this to a 6* Under 10.5 runs.  Maybe betting public pushes this to 11 b4 game time. 
(3*) Angels -145 WIN 3.0
(3*) A's -135 LOSS -4.05 (Hottest team in MLB will lose next 7 of 10 games...Mark it down... Its mathmatics..it will balance...their not the NYY or Bo Sox, their the Rockies, whats great about this trend when it developes is will be betting them to Lose night in and night out.
(2*) Under 7.5+110 LAD/SEA LOSS 2.0
(9*) LAD-165 WIN 9.0  (the only thing keeping this from my first 10* is Seattle trend has them winning a 1* Win, so I reduce LAD 10* by 1 to 9*.  LAD have a perfect trend that is 9-0 this season.  I have made a killing.  I wish I was pressing my bets on this but i havent :( staying disciplined to my way of betting.  LAD have had 9 oubles this year to the LOSS column.  Meaning when they get 2 consecutive Losses they have come back with a Win all 9 times for a perfect 9-0 record.  Now they could lose this and be 9-1 on the next 2 consec. Loss and I'll play it as a 9* etc... but I'm rolling with the 100% win rate on this Trend as they have won 9 other times with #3,4,5 pitches vs Opponets 1,2's and 3's.  It doesn't matter.  This club doesnt like losing streaks and Torre will get them back on track at home w/ Kershaw... I had to peak at pitchers.:):):)  his ERA is 2 pts lower than opponet here as well and LAD are 19-7 in current situation.  So relax bet this for 9* and we all collect on an almost perfect 100% situation for us. 

Well 6-8 for a net win of .25*.

Card Final

MLB Records and P/L Since June 17 2009:
Daily P/L Recap: 6Wins   8 Losses  for a Daily Net Win of +00.25*'s
Overall YTD Record: 48 Wins   35 Losses 58% for a Overall YTD Win of 38.10*'s
YTD P/L @ $25*=$952.50

[$4nothing]

If they not looking, their bad.    keep 'em coming !

 

[BoKnows]

great job, appreciate all the time you put into this 

[$CashCow$]

Saturday Trend Setter Plays:

(10*=95-100%)(9*=90-95%)(8*=85-90%)(7*=80-85%)(6*=75-80%)(5*=70-75%)(4*=65-70%)(3*=60-65%)(2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55%These are Leans Only)

Early Games: buyer beware, todays start is horrible 0-4, hopefully we can pull out a net win, but we will need some help from bigger plays!
(2*) Blue Jays -105 Lose 2.10
(5*) Over 9-110 Twins/Cards Lose 5.5
(2*) Cubs/CWS UNDER 8.5 Even Lose 2.0
(7*) Dbacks +110 Lose 7 ( 6-1 for the year in triple play...3 Wins and loss in 6 of 7 attempts for 86%.  reduced from an 8* to 7* because of 1* play on LAA
(3) Red Sox +125 Win 3.75
(2) under 9 Red Sox/Braves Win 2.0
7pm EST Games:
(4*) Brewers-145 Win 4  (brewers have a nice 75% trend working 6-2 for them, but its lowered do a a 2* on SF)
(2*) Under 9-110 SF/Milw Lose 2.2
(10*)O's-170  Win 10  (Nats in a negative trend here that is 13-1 on the year for them to lose 2nd game after losing one in a row.  its hit at 93% clip, qualifying us for an 9*.  O's also in a 2* Play on winning trend, thus an increase from a 9* to a 10* rating.  It should be an 11* but 10 is highest I go. First 10 of year.)
(3*) Rays-145 Win 3.0
(6*)Tigers-105  Lose 6.3  (Astro's in a negative 70% trend to double to a Loss 7-3 YTD, winning at 70% qualifying for a 5* and Positive trend on Tigers pushes this to a 6*)
(2*) Pirates -150 Win 2
(4*) Reds +120 Win 4.8 This trend going against Indians in a negative 16-6 situation for 73%, qualifying for a 5* gets reduced to a 4* due to 1* on Reds to Lose
(6*) Mariners -130 Win 6

Card is Final.

Nice bounce back from an 0-4 (-16*) start to the day to finish the day 8-6 for +10* profit.

MLB Records and P/L Since June 17 2009:
Daily P/L Recap: 8 Wins   6 Losses  for a Daily Net Win of +10.45*'s
Overall YTD Record: 56 Wins   41Losses 58% for a Overall YTD Win of 48.55*'s
YTD P/L @ $25*=$1,213.75

[Boro]

Very impressive thing you got going here. Good luck

[Spanks11]

Looks good so far man. Good Luck

 

[tnizzle]

Thanks as always CC

[$CashCow$]

Sundays Trend Setter Plays:


(10*=95-100%)(9*=90-95%)(8*=85-90%)(7*=80-85%)(6*=75-80%)(5*=70-75%)(4*=65-70%)(3*=60-65%)(2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55%These are Leans Only)

Early Games: Ready by 12 EST
(4*) over 9.5-120 SFG/Milw Lose 4.8
(1* Lean) over 9.5 Indians/Reds
(2*)  Blu Jays -135 Lose 2.70
(6*)Braves  Even Win 6.0       (Nice 4-1 quads situtation to WIN.  reduced down from a 7* as it has RS Win 1* as well.
(3*) Under 9 -110 Braves/Bo Sox win 3.0
(2*) Pirates +140 Lose 2.0 ( I did not realize RL was so low until after game was off, at -125 for +1.5 hindsight says I made wrong decision here.
(2*) Under 7.5-20 Pirates/Royals Lose 2.2
(2*) Marlins/Rays Under 9.5 Win 2.0     Whole nation on Over, but my trend setter says UNDER.
(2*) O's -130 Lose 2.6
(2*) Astro's +125 Lose 2.0 2 run/2 out homer killed this nice DOG winner
(2*) Tigers/Astro's Over 8.5-105 Lose 2.10

Mid Afternoon Games: Ready by 3 EST Sorry got behind a bit as USA Soccer very Intriuging...'Do You Believe In Miracles'?..damn USA lost!!!
(6*)A's-110 Lose 6.6 (A's in a nice 4-1 Quads situational trend where 4 times out of 5 TY when they have reached 4 Losses, they had a WIN.  Reduce to 6* as !* on rockies to Win as well, lower's the * Rating from 7 to 6*
(5*) Under 8.5 Even Win 5.0(8.5's at Sports-book.com) Both clubs in an UNDER Trend here , A's in an Under Chop' and Rockies in Opp. Mode
(2*) Mariners RL-135 Win 2  everyone and their mother is on LAD.  Trend says Mariners here. If win, look for a nice trend on LAD manana.
(4*) LAA/Dbacks OVER 9.5-105 Win 4   Dbacks in a 13-5 Under trend and 10-0 L10 could of made this a 5* because of that alone.

Late Games:Ready by 7 EST
(3*) Padres +1.5 RL -160 Win 3.0
(3*) Over 11 even Padres/Rangers-110 Lose 3.3

Net winning day of 1.1*'s...Nothing to Write home about but its a winning day again.

MLB Records and P/L Since June 17 2009:
Daily P/L Recap: 8 Wins   8 Losses  for a Daily Net Win of +1.10*'s
Overall YTD Record: 64 Wins   49Losses 57% for a Overall YTD Win of 49.65*'s
% of Winning Days: 7-1 for 88% Winning Days
YTD P/L @ $25*=$1,241.25

[Oompajc]

I have been watching this for long enough....tailing you 100% on all your plays. I hope I am not the kiss of death!