***2009**** MLB-TREND SETTER

[whacked]

C.C. I have been playng most of your picks, whenever possible. You had a little bump Mid August, but seem to be coming back strong

[mhf109b]

I assume we're done with this thread?  It's a shame b/c it was a moneymaker.

[$CashCow$]

No way bro... $$$ to be had... I just wrote a guy today explaining my circumstance...long hrs at work, boss breathing down my neck... 6 fantasy football leagues...college and foots capping...newsletters to post weekly...thats enough excuse..hahah...

In all honesty...I'm going to start updating charts tonight...I know the strong trends...all keep those at the top of the charts.  I might not have time to do all 60 of them daily, but I'll have time to do the elite, higher % plays.  Dude this is a moneymaker bro... as I was telling a guy who just pm'd me...I've never bet with so much confidence in winning before and to NEVER have my bankroll in jeopardy is the most rewarding thing...

Keep an eye on the Sticky as I am going to be putting in the high % plays... When theres a lot of stuff going on its going to be tough to get MLB/NCAA and NFL all done daily, but Ive capped NCAA and NFL already and most of my plays in so I'll concentrate on MLB tonight and start posting again...may not be every day, but bottom line is consistant winning right?

[$CashCow$]

Been crazy with all the football today...did a bunch of games.. mostly 2-3*'s only had 1 play >5...a 7*  no need to give out all the 2-3's as if your like me...your tapped out on football... so I'll give you 1 play thats solid...

7* Over 9 Indians Game WINNER +7* OVER BEFORE 5TH EVEN STARTED

It also confirms with someone I respect so its a really strong play IMO.

GL

Cash Cow

[alkimyst]

Nice to hear this is still going. It's been a great asset.

Best of Luck! you sound awfully busy. Don't get worn down......

[$CashCow$]

I'll try...sometimes I feel like your avatar looks.. LMAO...Holy Cheeseburgers Batman.. got a few small plays tonight for TS.

Won nice 7% the other day..

Monday Trend Setter
2% Pirates
ATL cancels out
4% Astros
2% Under STL
2% SF
4% Over O's
CWS Cancel
2% Bo Sox
3% NYY
4% Under NYY
6% A's
4% Under A's

GL

Cashcow

[mhf109b]

Hey brother. How's it looking for this weekend?  Seems divisional series' starting.

[$CashCow$]

GONNA SEE HOW THIS WORKS WITH PLAYOFFS...THERE NO GUARANTEE THESE KIND OF TRENDS WILL CONTINUE AS SOME TEAMS HAVE BEEN OFF FOR DAYS AND THAT COULD BE A FACTOR.

iTS GIVING ME 1 PLAY WORTHY OF A PLAY..

WEDNESDAY

5* UNDER 7 STL/LAD G1

[$CashCow$]

Tonight for Wednesday October 21st, Trendsetter says:

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)  (9*=90-95%)  (8*=85-90%)  (7*=80-85%)  (6*=75-80%)  (5*=70-75%)  (4*=65-70%)  (3*=60-65%)  (2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55% Leans Only)

3* Phillies WINNER +3
3* Over 8.5 WINNER +3

GL

[MacDaddy33]

 

[$CashCow$]

Tonight for Thursday October 22st, Trendsetter says the following:

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)  (9*=90-95%)  (8*=85-90%)  (7*=80-85%)  (6*=75-80%)  (5*=70-75%)  (4*=65-70%)  (3*=60-65%)  (2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55% Leans Only)

8* NYY/LAA Over 8.5 runs -110
3* NYY +110

Trend Setter Analysis:  Trend Setter has Yankees in a 61% trend to Win this game.  Yanks have been in this current situation 36 times all season, in which they came out victorious 22 of 36 for a 61% Win rate, thus qualifying for a 3* according to % above.  LAA are in a negative 21-18/54% mark in current trend to Lose this game tonight.  Trend setter always looks for one team winning and opposite team losing to make it a play, otherwise its a cancel situation.  Those of you who have been following all season understand this, but giving explaination to any newcomers.

Now the total.  This is where TS says the strenght of tonight play is...It has Yanks in a 12-3 for 80% mark, qualifying for a 7* play on Over according to the chart I use above.  Meaning this situation they Yanks are in tonight have been it it 15 times all season and they have gone Over 12 of them and Under 3 of them for an 80% Win rate to the Over.  When it a domination number like that, I want the opposition in an Over trend as well.  LAA is in an Over trend here as well.  Its small, but nonetheless its an Over trend.  Its Only 52%, but its not negative.  So what TS does is bump up the 7* to the next number, in this case an 8*.  If it were negative, I would reduce the 7* to a 5* or Lower.  This protects bankroll some if it were to happen.  But it didnt, its actually a positive same trend mode that Yanks are in, just not as strong.

Being we are in Championship series, I will be able to give a 1 game analysis on why TS is on a certain play...If it were during the season, there is no way I can do it.

During the off season, I am going to compute every team, every game, every total and prove how accurate and profitable Trend Setter is.  I'll show you a way that you can profit thousands using Trend Setter formula for betting daily baseball.  All will be done in excel so you can see.  I will email out the results using Trend Setter in an excel File.  Once you know the system, you can do it yourself daily.  It is not subjective, all of us will be playing the same games everyday for the same % of bankroll.  So if you are interested in being on the email list, let me know.  Maybe we can somehow put up a poll for all to join and keep it running until I am complete with the results.  

[HOVA]

 

[MacDaddy33]

 

[whacked]

C.C. I would like to be placed on your e-mail list. I know the system takes time to put the info in, maybe several  people can do a few games each, and then share the info.

[jakeandba]

any plays for game 3 for baseball?

[$CashCow$]

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)  (9*=90-95%)  (8*=85-90%)  (7*80-85%)  (6*=75-80%)  (5*=70-75%)  (4*=65-70%)  (3*=60-65%)  (2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55% Leans Only)

Ok TS has another Gem simuliar to the 8* Over in Yanks/Angels 6-7 game totaling 13 runs.  This one grades out at 81% Win rate over entire season, winning 13 times and losing just 3 for 81% Win rate.  When we get one like this, TS looks for opposition to be on same 'mode' and have a 'Plus rating"...the higher the rating/Win % obviously the better, but none the less, we want it on the same side.  If not, we have to reduce it or cancel it out al together, depending on the % it is in.  Being Phillies also in same mode just a alessor % we bump the 7* to an 8* Over 8.5 +105

With that said, the play tonight is on Over 8.5 runs +105 in NYY/Phi Game 5

I know everyone and there brothers will be on Phillies and 'Under' tonight.  I like the 81% Win rate of 13-3 and I have a positive backing with Opposition in same mode at a lesser %, but still a positive one... so OVER is the call for me...

Cliff Lee will be tough for Bomber to get runs off of tonight.  Yanks are a 50/50 proposition with AJ on the hill on the road tonight.  Team is 9-9 when he starts.  He has a 4.83era with a 1.5 whip, hes pitched 108 road innings with 113 hits, over 1 hit per inning 48 walks, about 6-7 walks per 7 innings (too many IMO), 1 HR a game and 94 total strikeouts, .87 So per inning....which translate into 4 less SO ave than he threw in NY in last outing.  He will get hit tonight and hit hard.  I think Girardi will leave him work through some tough spots and sacrifice this game for two back in NY.  I feel he should just throw Gaudin tonight, but thats my opinion.

Cliff Lee has been money.  What has he done lately?...Just a .37 era and a .69 Whip  zero HR, 25 So in 24 innings...(no thats not a typo folks) with ...dude is just sick.  He's magic and he's at home tonight where he will have 55K+ screaming fans, supporting every pitch he makes.  I know a lot of cappers cant pass up VALUE on Yanks, but take it from a Yankee Diehard, I know when we are beat and we lose this game tonight to Lee.  TS say Phillies in a positive 75% trend to Win, however in has Yanks in a 62% trend to win as well...so we do the subtraction and we are going to play Phillies for 3* tonight with Lee on hill.  Make sure you use action and not listed as Girardi might make a switch/5% chance to Gaudin, you just never know.

TS Game 5:
8* OVER 8.5 RUNS +105
3* Phillies -150

GL

Check back for Game 6...Yes there will be a game 6

[HOVA]

 

[BigLebowski]

 


Well done. I read 12 pages of post in about an hour.  Was already on lee for about 3 units, and after all of that let 3 roll on that over as well.   

wish I would have seen you sooner.  look forward to checking the page Wednesday

[$CashCow$]

Well done. I read 12 pages of post in about an hour.  Was already on lee for about 3 units, and after all of that let 3 roll on that over as well.   

wish I would have seen you sooner.  look forward to checking the page Wednesday

Well looks like you did your Due Diligence BL... It was an easy winner, totaling 14 runs, 5.5 over the posted total... That makes 16*'s/$800 in profit last 2 plays of TS, using $50 a star...

You could sense it right out of the gate in first inning that both Lee and AJ were going to get hit.  These Top rated plays have paid big dividens all season.  I will have Wednesdays up either today or tomorrow morning sometime. 

My schedule is slammed...  Tuesdays, Wednesday Thursdays are used for compiling info to cap NCAA/NFL for upcoming week and try to get down on lines before they move to much from touts service plays on Saturday.  Then I am in 8 Fantasy Football Leagues, so I have to do my DD there as well, then of course I'm married and I try and give wifey a little 'us' time in between Big games..Ie  WS Game 5- G-6...so thats tonight then or Friday night....  So you could see how busy it gets and Im sure a lot of you in same boat.  Nice thing now is Trend Setter only takes about 1/2 to figure out once Im caught up....thank god Im not doing it to 30 teams, sides and totals again until next season, as this took about 4 hrs a day to do...

Well, keep an eye in this thread for Game 6 TS plays...I'll post a reminder in service thread...

GL, CC

[$CashCow$]

Trend Setter Star Ratings and Win Rate %'s

(10*=95-100%)  (9*=90-95%)  (8*=85-90%)  (7*80-85%)  (6*=75-80%)  (5*=70-75%)  (4*=65-70%)  (3*=60-65%)  (2*=55-60%)   (1*=50-55% Leans Only)

Worlds Series Game 6

Ok, I'll try and explain this without confusing anyone.  Normally I just put the play for TS with no explainations it would take me forever to explain TS every decision...but since it WS G6 it deserves a little write up right.?  

Sides:  Both teams in whats called Same Mode.  However certain events trump others in Same Mode.  Yanks in same mode (same as last decision) well they lost, so you would assume it sets up for a loss right?  Wrong, they're in a Opposite singles play, meaning they have had at least 3 consecutive singles (a loss followed by a win)  three times... So TS(Trend Setter for you newbies) says that the opposite will continue to a WIN.  So whats the % Of time that a Loss has turned to a win in this situation?..Well NYY is 26-13 to the WIN in this situation for 67% qualifying for an 4* Phillies however are in Same Mode as well, (same as last decision) so at what % you ask?.  They are in a 25-16 61% to WIN, qualifying them for a 3*.  So what gives?...  So when you do the math against  each other, it puts the Yanks on top slightly at a 42-38 for 52.5% qualifying for a 1* on NYY to Win...at 190-200 is it really worth it? not IMO...I'd almost be willing to play the Value here in Phillies at +190 or RL on NYY being at home and the fact that Pettite has not lost a game in Playoffs where he had the opportunitity to close it out.  

So its RL NYY at -110 or ML Phillies +180 for 1-2*'s

On to the total: Phillies in Same mode...but also in a triples play Opposite of Over...So play would be on Under. Looking at %'s we see that Its been in this situation 1 time all season and after the triple, it actually went OVER to 4 in a row...10 times all season Phillies got to 3 Over is a row and went 5-5 to get to 4 Overs...its really a 50/50 split...

As far as Yanks total goes for them, they're in opposite triples play as well.  Both times they were in a triples play situation to the Over in went Under.  It only happened twice all season.  This would be the third.  At least we have a definitive mark for Yanks Total in that its 2-o for the year in triples situation to go "Under", this would be third time as said earlier.

The fact that Phillies triples to Under actually went Over and lost to a 4 Over in a row brings a combined record of 2-1.  Its not like the 13-3 mark in last games % as I like to see but nonetheless its a play on Under for 4*'s.  The whole country on over here...just like last game, where whole country on Under...TS blew it up with an 8* OVER winner ...2 consecutive 8* winners to boot.

WS Game 6

Trend Setter Predicts 4* Under 9.5 runs
Pick your poison in side.  TS would have this as a Cancel Out play... I would lean a 2* RL NYY based off HFA and bullpens available.

GL to all, hopefully you weren't too confused with the TS analysis, its worked profitable all season.

[Oscarxena]

 

[$4nothing]

Found you today $cow$

if by strange chance we lose, JUST SHOOT ME ! 

   Thanx for all the work.