Service Plays Saturday. 2/4

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ASA's 10* HORIZON LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR (Sat on ESPN) - 6-1 CBB run!

PLAY ON 10* UW Green Bay over UW Milwaukee, Saturday at 2:00 PM EST on ESPN

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SPORTS WAGERS NHL

Toronto +114 over OTTAWA

Love ‘em or hate ‘em, you really have to like the way the Maple Leafs are playing these days. After badly outplaying Pittsburgh and blowing a 4-1 lead with 10 minutes to go in the game, the Leafs rebounded confidently and beat the Pens the very next night. They've won three of four but in reality that should be a four-game streak. Toronto has really cut down on scoring chances allowed and with Colby Armstrong back in the lineup, they figure to improve in that department even more. All of a sudden the Senators are on a six-game losing streak and they'll play the tail end of back-to-backs after losing to the Islanders last night. Winning becomes more difficult with each passing loss, as confidence drops and the fear of making a mistake increases. The Maple Leafs are simply the more confident, rested and in better form squad right now. Play: Toronto +114 (Risking 2 units).

CAROLINA -102 over Los Angeles

The Kings were supposed to be contenders but with the least amount of goals scored in the league, just making the playoffs is going to be a challenge. In the first game of a crucial six-game trip last night, the Kings went into St. Louis and lost 1-0. They've scored one goal or less in four of their past seven games and the frustration continues. The Kings will now play their third game in four days and tail end of back-to-back road games. Carolina is last in the East but they're 9-9 over its past 18 games and they're coming off a 3-0 win in Boston. They also have a recent 3-0 win over the Capitals and with Cam Ward in net against this offensively challenged and frustrated group, expect the Kings scoring drought to continue. Play: Carolina -102 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).

Minnesota +138 over DALLAS

Much prefer the Wild taking back a decent tag than the Stars laying one. Dallas is much too erratic to be laying anything with. It's not uncommon to see them allow four or five goals, as they have in four of its last 10 games. They don't win enough either. The Stars have just two wins over their past eight games and both wins came against the Ducks. The Wild are warming up again. It wasn't long ago that they sat first in the conference before enduring a prolonged slump. They've seem to snap out of it with three wins in four games with only loss over that span occuring against the then red-hot Predators. Incidentally, Minnesota had a 4-1 lead in the thid period of that game in the third. Offensively, not much seperates these two but in terms of defense, goaltending, special teams and form, give a nice edge to the Wild in a game they surely have a great chance to succeed in. Play: Minnesota +138 (Risking 2 units).

Results Tracked Here http://theinsideslant.com/forum/index.php/topic,58780.0.html

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DR Bob Write ups

DR. BOB


COLLEGE
2 Star Selection
South Florida (+9 1/2) over GEORGETOWN
04-Feb-12 08:00 AM Pacific
Georgetown is just 10-31 ATS in conference home games the last 5 seasons, including 1-4 ATS this season and 2-17 ATS when favored by 9 points or more (0-12 ATS against teams with a win percentage of .550 or higher). South Florida is just ½ a game behind Georgetown in the Big East standings (6-3 to the Hoyas’ 7-3) and using conference games only would favor Georgetown by just 5 ½ points. I’ll take South Florida in a 2-Star Best Bet at +9 points or more.

Play Strength: 2-Stars at +9 or more.

3 Star Selection
Wake Forest (+14) over NC STATE
04-Feb-12 10:00 AM Pacific
NC State won at Wake Forest 76-40 a few weeks ago, but the Demon Deacons apply to a 49-13-3 ATS subset of a 165-94-7 ATS road underdog revenge situation that is 17-4 ATS if the earlier loss was by 25 points or more. NC State hasn’t played as well at home and they’re only 3-6 ATS as a favorite of 10 points or more. That record would be even worse if there had been lines on the 4 games there were no lines on, as their home wins over NC Asheville, NC Central, and Campbell were by margins of just 9, 5, and 6 points (they would have covered in a 34 point win over Delaware State). Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog and my ratings favor NC State by only 12 points in this game. I’ll take Wake Forest in a 3-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more and for 2-Stars down to +13.

Play Strength: 3-Stars at +14 or more, 2-Stars down to +13.

2 Star Selection
LSU (-4) over Arkansas
04-Feb-12 10:30 AM Pacific
Arkansas is just 1-5 ATS away from home this season and the Razorbacks have a long history of playing poorly on the road – going 22-65-5 ATS in road games when not getting at least 11 points against a team with a winning record, including 3-24-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. New Razorbacks’ head coach Mike Anderson also has a history of his teams playing relatively worse on the road and his teams are Missouri and Arkansas ar now 10-33 ATS in road games against teams with a win percentage of .550 or better (1-4 ATS this season). Arkansas beat LSU 69-60 at home earlier this season thanks to favorable 3-point shooting variance (Ark was 9 for 18 while LSU was 3 for 18) but the Razorbacks struggle defensively away from home (53.2% FG allowed) and LSU head coach Trent Johnson is 62% ATS in his coaching career in same season revenge games (7-4 ATS with LSU), including 20-9-1 ATS in home revenge games (3-1 ATS with LSU). My ratings favor LSU by 4 points with a standard home court advantage and Anderson’s teams at Missouri and Arkansas have been 4.1 points per game worse in road games than their overall rating (after adjusting for the fact that they were on the road). I’ll take LSU in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.

Play Strength: 2-Stars at -4 or less.

3 Star Selection
Central Michigan (+14 ½) over OHIO
04-Feb-12 11:00 AM Pacific
Ohio is an impressive 18-4 this season but the Bobcats aren’t winning games by big margins and they’re just 5-12 ATS as a favorite of 9 points or more under coach John Groce, including 1-5 ATS this season. Ohio probably won’t have much respect for a Central Michigan team that has lost 6 straight games and the Bobcats apply to a 26-92-1 ATS big favorite letdown situation if they’re favored by 14 points or more. Central Michigan, meanwhile, applies to a 41-7-1 ATS subset of a 94-38-5 ATS double-digit underdog bounce-back situation today, so the technical analysis strongly favors the Chippewas in this game. My ratings only favor Ohio by 11 points, so we have line value on our side too. I’ll take Central Michigan in a 3-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more and for 2-Stars down to +12 points.

Play Strength: 3-Stars at +13 or more, 2-Stars down to +12.

2 Star Selection
Evansville (-1 ½) over SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
04-Feb-12 12:05 PM Pacific
Evansville is on an 11-2 ATS run and the Aces still look under-valued. My ratings favor Evansville by 5 points and they should be able to beat a 7-16 Southern Illinois team that is too offensively challenged to take advantage of the Aces’ poor defense (they shot just 41% from the floor in an 18 point loss at Evansville). I’ll take Evansville in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or better.

Play Strength: 2-Stars at -2 or better.

2 Star Selection
MARYLAND (+12) over North Carolina
04-Feb-12 01:00 PM Pacific
Maryland applies to a 45-14-1 ATS subset of a 104-44-5 ATS home underdog bounce-back situation today and North Carolina looks a bit overrated without Dexter Strickland, whose 1.3 steals per game and overall good defense are tough to replace. My ratings favor North Carolina by only 11 points, so we have some line value to go along with a good situation. I’ll take Maryland in a 2-Star Best Bet at +12 points or more.

Play Strength: 2-Stars at +12 or more.

2 Star Selection
Auburn (+12 ½) over MISSISSIPPI STATE
04-Feb-12 01:00 PM Pacific
Mississippi State has a tendency to letdown as a big home favorite against mediocre and bad teams, as the Bulldogs are just 13-37-1 ATS as a home favorite of 9 points or more against teams with a win percentage of less than .666 under coach Stansbury. Auburn has covered in 6 of their last 7 games by slowing down the pace and playing good defense, which are good characteristics for a big underdog. The Tigers apply to a very good 89-24-3 ATS big road underdog situation and my ratings favor Miss State by 12 points – so the line is fair. I’ll take Auburn in a 2-Star Best Bet at +12 points or more and for 3-Stars at +13 or more.

Play Strength: 2-Stars at +12 or more, 3-Stars at +13.

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Jack Jones

Denver Nuggets +6

The Denver Nuggets are a team built for handling the tough situation they are in tonight. The only reason Denver is a 6-point dog in this game against the Portland Trail Blazers is because this will be their 3rd game in three days. After beating the Clippers on the road, the Nuggets lost to the Lakers 89-93 at home.

Denver is as deep as any team in the league. The Nuggets have been a great road bet all season as they are 8-4 SU & 9-3 ATS away from home. Denver is actually outscoring opponents 107.5 to 100.5 for an average win of 7.0 points/game on the road.

The Nuggets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Denver is 38-14-2 ATS in their last 54 games overall. The Nuggets are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 road games. The Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Portland is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games. Bet Denver Saturday.
Sam Martin

USC at Washington
Play: Washington

We nearly released Washington tonight as a premium selection, but this game graded just short of our requirements. Still, there is very good line value with the home side here, and fading a USC team that just 2-8 on the road this season and even worse just 1-9 in Pac 12 play. The Trojans offense is a wreck, scoring just 52 points on 38% shooting in conference games (including home games), and there's no way that they can keep up with a decent Washington offense tonight. Washington runs past USC in a blowout!
MTi Sports

Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks
Prediction: Atlanta Hawks

Philadelphia's trend number ten from the 2011 NBA Handicapping Bible reveals: "PHI010: The Seventysixers are 0-10 ATS (-10.3 ppg) since March 10, 2008 as a dog with no rest after a game in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two." The 76ers are 0-2 ATS in this spot this season, moving this trend to 0-12 ATS. Atlanta's trend number 4 from the 2011 NBA Handicapping Bible reveals: "ATL004: The Hawks are 13-0 ATS (9.9 ppg) since November 14, 2000 at home after a loss in which they had six or fewer offensive rebounds." Atlanta is 1-0 ATS in this spot this season, moving this trend to 14-0 ATS. Consider the Hawks.

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KELSO
100 UNIT* CBB* California Golden Bears -19



Tracked here http://theinsideslant.com/forum/index.php/topic,55057.0.html

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Sports Illuminati

FREE PLAY OF THE DAY:
Florida/Tampa Bay OVER 5.5 -110

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Spreadcrusher Selections
Ole Miss +11
Boston College +9
Xavier +6

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Saturday's Top College Basketball Trends

TENN MARTIN is 14-0 ATS vs. teams averaging less than 53 shots/game (vs Murray State)

DREXEL is 10-0 ATS off back to back conference games (vs Towson St)

RICHMOND is 11-0 ATS after scoring 65+ pts BB games (vs Duquesne)

BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-0 ATS Away off a loss (vs Georgia Tech)

NORTHEASTERN is 0-9 ATS after scoring 60 pts or less (vs Va Commonwealth)

NEW MEXICO is 10-1 ATS after allowing 65 pts or less BB games (vs Va Commonwealth)

MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-0 ATS playing w/ one or less days rest (vs Denver)

DRAKE is 17-3 ATS after committing 8 or less turnovers (vs Missouri St)

E ILLINOIS is 1-11 ATS at home off conference loss (vs Morehead St)

Also check our CBB forum for our daily betting info threads

[TheGame]

Scott stylze 2/4

Marquette -2
Syracuse -13

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Stu Feiner

02-04-2012
WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN MONEY LINE

NORTE DAME
WYOMING
NORTHERN IOWA
MANHATTAN
BUCKS
JAZZ

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SB Professor Early NCAAB Picks 2/4
As always, picks are against the pointspread and not just to win outright. Saturday's early NCAAB picks:

1:45 PM EST
554. Oklahoma St. +7*

Rest of Early Games
533. Seton Hall +8.5
545. Vanderbilt +6.5
569. Penn St. +6.5

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9xSports 2/4



Saturday's Picks

(NCAAB) Portland State-3.5

(NHL) Florida @ Tampa Bay UNDER 5.5 Goals

(Mexico Soccer) Cruz Azul-125

(Parx Racing) Race8 #7 Officer Big Red to WIN

(ATP) J.Monaco vs. J.Chardy UNDER 22.5

[TheGame]

Best weekend wagers with the Weekend Warrior February 04, 2012 6:44 AM by GT Staff

NCAA Basketball

Florida State -5

Penn State / Iowa UNDER 138½

Oregon +6

[TheGame]

Daily NHL Shots on Goal February 04, 2012 7:34 AM by Nick Pellegrino

Hockey Plays (sides)

Washington Capitals (Even), at Montreal

San Jose Shakrs (-130), at Phoenix

Dallas Stars (-155), vs. Minnesota

Nashville Predators (-130) vs. St. Louis

Hockey Plays (totals)

Toronto-Ottawa, UNDER 5½

St. Louis-Nashville, UNDER 5

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Brad Diamond Sports

5* Iowa

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James Patrick Sports

3* Buffalo Sabres

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Matt Fargo

10* Connecticut

9* LSU

9* Oklahoma

9* Denver U

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Playbook

NBA Feature Play - Orlando Magic

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Scott Spreitzer

3* Connecticut -7

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California Sports

4* Middle Tennessee St /Denver Under 124

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Friends of Mike Lee

Mavericks -5

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Viking Sports NHL 2.4
FLA/TB 5.5 o
Tor/Ott 5.5 u
STL/Nash 5 u
Det/Edm 5.5 u

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Marc Lawrence

5* Vanderbilt

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Red Dog Sports

Virginia vs. Florida St
Play: Over 117½

Sene is Virginia's center who was injured two weeks ago. He doesn't score much for the Cavs but plays great defense inside. He has been missed as the home game with Clemson went over and both scored 60+. FSU scored 90 at home vs. UNC as they are more efficient on offense at home. Mike Scott should provide points for the Cavs too and maybe Sammy Zeglinski can make a 3-pointer on the road to add to our total. I expect FSU to lead late and for UVA to shoot some 3's and foul to help this go over the total.
Bryan Leonard

Butler -4

The Titans beat the Bulldogs in the first match-up this year which was a rare victory in this series. The Bulldogs had won 10 straight games before that Detroit victory. The Titans are a strong team at home but they haven't had that type of success on the road. This team has now lost all 11 visits to Butler and you know the Bulldogs have some revenge on their minds.  Butler's RPI is close to 100 spots better than that of Detroit and this young team is starting to come together. They can't afford to fall any further in the conference standings as they prepare themselves for the Horizon League Tournament. This looks to us to be a cheap number in a revenge spot for the Bulldogs.

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indian cowboy

4 texas a&m +11.5